GDP CALCULATION - ECONOMY

News: Private consumption, rural demand to drive Q1 growth

 

What is in the news?

       Recently, the Reserve Bank of India has released its May 2023 bulletin.

 

Key takeaways from the news:

1. Drivers of the Quarter 1 Growth:

       Private consumption,

       Reviving rural demand,

       Renewed buoyancy in manufacturing on easing input cost pressures.

2. Inflation:

       It states that headline inflation eased below 5% in April 2023 for the first time since November 2021.

       It said that the corporate earnings were beating consensus expectations, with banking and financial sectors posting strong revenue performance, aided by robust credit growth.

3. GDP growth:

       The quarter of FY24 is expected to be driven by private consumption, supported by revival in rural demand that is underway on the back of the encouraging developments in both the Kharif marketing season of 2022-­23 and the Rabi marketing season of 2023-­24, they said.

4. Prediction:

       Sustained buoyancy in services, especially contact intensive sectors, and moderating inflationary pressures, will aid growth momentum.

 

Gross Domestic Product:

What is GDP?

       The GDP measures the monetary measure of all “final” goods and services, those that are bought by the final user produced in a country in a given period.

 

Calculation of GDP:

       GDP = private consumption + gross investment + government investment + government spending + (exports-imports).

       All the money Indians spent for their private consumption (that is, Private Final Consumption Expenditure or PFCE)

       All the money the government spent on its current consumption, such as salaries [Government Final Consumption Expenditure or GFCE]

       All the money spent towards investments to boost the productive capacity of the economy. This includes business firms investing in factories or the governments building roads and bridges [Gross Fixed Capital Expenditure]

       The net effect of exports (what foreigners spent on our goods) and imports (what Indians spent on foreign goods) [Net Exports or NX.

       GDP = (GVA) + (Taxes earned by the government) — (Subsidies provided by the government).

       GVA of a sector is defined as the value of output minus the value of its intermediary inputs. This “value added” is shared among the primary factors of production, labour and capital.

       Calculated by:

       Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation.

       Base Year:

       The last series changed the base to 2011-12 from 2004-05.