BLACK SEA GRAIN DEAL - INTERNATIONAL

News: Russia must implement Black Sea Grain deal to save millions: USTR

 

What's in the news?

       Calling for Russia to “reverse its decision to suspend the Black Sea Grain Initiative, end its unjustified war of aggression, and withdraw all of its forces from Ukraine”, United States Trade Representative Katherine Tai in her remarks at the G20 Trade and Investment Ministers’ Meeting in Jaipur said the topic of the meeting could not be discussed properly without acknowledging the serious and continuing impact of Russia’s premeditated and unprovoked war of aggression against Ukraine.

 

Black Sea Grain Initiative:

       The deal, brokered by the United Nations (UN) and Turkey, was signed in Istanbul on July 27, 2022.

 

Time Period:

       Initially stipulated for a period of 120 days, but extended for a year.

 

Need of the deal:

       Ukraine is among the largest exporters of wheat, maize, rapeseed, sunflower seeds and sunflower oil, globally. Its access to the deep-sea ports in the Black Sea enables it to directly approach Russia and Europe along with grain importers from the Middle East and North Africa.

       Russia’s action in the East European country has now disturbed this route, earlier used to ship 75% of its agricultural exports - precisely what the initiative sought to address.

 

Aim:

       The deal was to provide for a safe maritime humanitarian corridor for Ukrainian exports (particularly for food grains) from three of its key ports, namely, Chornomorsk, Odessa and Yuzhny/Pivdennyi.

 

Objectives:

       The central idea was to calm markets by ensuring an adequate supply of grains, thereby limiting food price inflation.

       The Black Sea Grain deal endeavours to tackle escalating food prices emanating from supply chain disruptions because of Russian actions in the world’s ‘breadbasket’.

 

Key features:

       The deal put in place a Joint Coordination Centre (JCC), comprising senior representatives from Russia, Turkey, Ukraine and the UN for oversight and coordination. 

       All commercial ships are required to register directly with the JCC to ensure appropriate monitoring, inspection and safe passage.

       Inbound and outbound ships (to the designated corridor) transit as per a schedule accorded by the JCC post-inspection. This is done so as to ensure there is no unauthorised cargo or personnel onboard.

       Following this, they are allowed to sail onwards to Ukrainian ports for loading through the designated corridor.

       All ships, once inside the Ukrainian territorial waters, are subject to the nation’s authority and responsibility.

       No military ships or unmanned aerial vehicles can approach the corridor closer than a pre-decided distance agreed upon by the JCC. This too would require consultation with the parties and authorisation of the JCC.

       In the event of non-compliance or suspicious activities, upon the request of a party, the JCC would provide assistance to the crew or conduct an inspection against security guarantees. 

 

Significance of the deal:

       As per the UN Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, approximately 9.8 million tonnes of grains have been shipped since the initiative was commenced.

       The UN Food and Agricultural Organisation’s (FAO) Food Price Index, which assesses the monthly change in international prices of a basket of food commodities, fell for the sixth consecutive month in a row this October.

       Following the fifth consecutive month of decline, the supply situation in markets was seen to be easing, with the potential for further price drops.

 

What would suspension of the deal mean?

       In a nutshell, the deal’s suspension was expected to re-introduce the price pressures on grain prices, especially that of wheat, with inventory being at historical lows.

       It could particularly impact countries in the Middle East and Africa such as Egypt, Turkey, Lebanon, Sudan and Yemen which have benefitted from the resumption (refer to the chart) and are particularly dependent on Russian and Ukrainian exports.