CHINA-PAKISTAN ECONOMIC CORRIDOR (CPEC) – INTERNATIONAL

News: Pakistan, China reiterate to continue cooperation on CPEC

 

What's in the news?

       A day after India criticized the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), the Foreign Ministers of Pakistan and China expressed their firm commitment to continue their cooperation on the multi-billion dollar infrastructure projects.

 

Key takeaways:

       The CPEC Corridor is a $60 billion corridor being laid through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) with China's assistance.

       India is opposed to the CPEC as it passes through the PoK, giving China access to the Arabian Sea through the Gwadar port in Pakistan's Balochistan province.

 

CPEC:

       The CPEC is a bilateral project between Pakistan and China.

       It is a 3,000-km long route of infrastructure projects connecting China’s northwest Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and the Gwadar Port in the western province of Balochistan in Pakistan.

       CPEC is a part of the Belt and Road Initiative.

       The BRI, launched in 2013, aims to link Southeast Asia, Central Asia, the Gulf region, Africa and Europe with a network of land and sea routes.

 

Why is CPEC beneficial for China?

1. Unique location:

       Pakistan has the geostrategic significance for China due to its unique location.

       Through CPEC, China could harness Pak’s potential as a regional hub for China, Central Asia, and the Middle East.

2. Energy security:

       Currently, the only maritime route available for China to access Africa, the Middle East, and Europe is through Malacca Strait.

       To overcome this, China is searching for alternative routes via Myanmar or Pakistan to secure oil imports and also export its cheap goods.

3. Xinjiang region development:

       China’s Xinjiang region is underdeveloped due to its landlocked nature and insurgency by Uighur militancy.

       However, the Xinjiang region has huge oil and gas reserves, and it is the only route for China to access Central Asia.

       CPEC will link Xinjiang with the Indian Ocean via Gwadar port.

4. Access to Africa and Middle east:

       Currently, several Chinese companies are engaged in developmental projects in Africa and the Middle East region. Thousands of Chinese workers are employed over there.

       CPEC serves as a short route to access those areas. This could further deepen Chinese activities in Africa and the Middle East.

 

Advantages of CPEC for Pakistan:

1. Socio and Economic development:

       In recent years GDP growth rate is poor and unemployment rate is soaring high every year in Pakistan. Investments through CPEC will be a game changer for Pakistan.

2. External loans:

       Pakistan was put in a grey list of the global anti money laundering group. So, grants and loans from International multilateral development institutions were reduced.

       China's grants and loans are helpful for Pakistan to improve the economic conditions.

3. Development in underdeveloped region:

       CPEC comes through Pakistan's underdeveloped areas, this will increase the employment opportunities and socio economic developments of the people of those areas.

 

Concerns of CPEC for Pakistan:

1. Debt Trap:

       Pakistan's debt levels have become a concern due to the large scale of projects financed by loans from China and the ability to repay these loans.

       China is now Pakistan's largest creditor, with Pakistan owing 27.4% of its total external debt to China in 2021, according to the IMF.

2. Regional Imbalances:

       CPEC is focused on certain areas and provinces in Pakistan, leading to concerns about regional imbalances in development and investment.

3. China's increasing influence:

       Some have raised concerns about China's increasing influence in Pakistan and the potential for the project to compromise the country's sovereignty and independence.

 

Why is it a problem for India?

1. Impinges on India’s sovereignty and territorial integrity:

       India officially expressed strong opposition to CPEC, criticizing it for affecting its sovereignty.

       India’s primary concern is with the corridor’s path through Gilgit-Baltistan in PoK (Pakistan Occupied Kashmir), which India considers its territory.

       The construction of CPEC would further reinforce Pakistan’s claim over the region.

2. Chinese dominance:

       A China that is more accepted and integrated into the rest of the global economy will have a stronger voice in the UN and with individual nations, which may be bad news for India’s bid for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.

3. Chinese String of Pearls:

       With an existing presence in Chittagong port (Bangladesh), Hambantota port (Sri Lanka), Port Sudan (Sudan), Maldives, Somalia and Seychelles, a control of Gwadar port establishes complete dominance of the Indian ocean by the Communist nation.

4. Afghanistan's entry:

       In May 2023, Afghanistan officially joined in the CPEC project.

       This will pave the way for increased terrorism activities and seriously hinders India's access to Central Asia.

5. Security threat: 

       Further, it also has a fear that the newly developed roadways near the Indian border in the PoK region will raise the infiltration of anti-India elements from Pakistan to India.

       CPEC and it's related developments in the Pakistan occupied Kashmir will increase the state sponsored and non state sponsored terrorism in the region.

6. Affect riparian rights and strategic interests:

       China is also building large dams (7,100MW Bunji Dam and the 4,500MW Diamer – Bhasha Dam) and military bases in this region, both affect India’s riparian rights and strategic interests.

 

Options for India to counter CPEC and BRI:

1. QUAD:

       India is a member of the Quad (India, the US, Australia, and Japan) which can provide realistic alternatives for countries looking for infrastructure and be an alternative to China.

       The member countries of the Quad have come up with some alternatives.

       For example, Blue Dot Network (BDN) and Build Back Better World (B3W) initiative.

2. Chabahar Port:

       India can counter Chinese dominance in Gwadar port through Chabahar port in Iran which is very near to Gwadar Port and India helped in its development.

       Moreover, India signed a trade corridor deal with Iran and Afghanistan giving India access to Central Asia from Chabahar, bypassing Pakistan.

       However, Iran is considering participating in CPEC.

3. Speed up own projects:

       India should speed up work on the development of its own strategic projects like the Spice route and Mausam Project, Bangladesh, China, India and Myanmar Economic Corridor (BCIM), and Chabahar Port.

4. International North South Transport Corridor:

       This corridor will play a major role to counter China's CPEC projects and increase India's accessibility of Central Asia.

5. Increase India's investment in Afghanistan:

       More investments by India in Afghanistan and Improved infrastructure and security situation in Afghanistan may help India to conduct its economic and trade activities in a secured environment.