GDP AND GVA - ECONOMY

News: India’s GDP data for 2023-24’s Q3: Why have GDP and GVA growth rates diverged?

 

What's in the news?

       India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate surpassed expectations to rise to a six-quarter high of 8.4% in the third quarter (October-December) of 2023-24, data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO).

 

Key takeaways:

Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

       GDP measures the value of a country’s final goods and services (those purchased by the final user) generated in a specific time period (say, a quarter or a year).

       It includes all of the output produced within a country’s borders.

 

GDP Calculation:

GDP = Private consumption + gross investment + government investment + government spending + (exports – imports)

 

       Private Consumption Expenditure refers to the value of all goods and services purchased for consumption by households.

       Government Consumption Expenditure refers to the value of all goods and services purchased for consumption by the government.

       Gross Investment refers to the total value of all capital investments made in the economy.

 

GDP is made up of commodities and services generated for market sale as well as certain non market production, such as government-provided defence or education services.

 

Methods of GDP Calculation:

1. Production Method:

       This approach estimates the value of products and services produced in the country during a certain period, by adding up the gross value of all final items and services produced in various sectors of the economy.

       Agriculture, manufacturing, mining, construction, power, gas and water supply are examples of industries, as are services such as trade, transportation, communication, finance, insurance and real estate.

2. Expenditure Method:

       The expenditure method calculates GDP by adding up all of the economy’s expenditures on goods and services, including household consumption, government spending, investments and net exports (exports minus imports).

3. Income Method:

       It measures GDP by adding up all of the incomes earned by individuals and firms in the economy, such as wages and salaries, profits, interest and rent.

 

Limitations of GDP:

       GDP does not encompass all productive activities.

       Unpaid work (such as that done at home or by volunteers) and black-market activities, for example, are not included since they are difficult to assess and value effectively.

 

Gross Value Added (GVA):

       The contribution of an industry, sector, or region to a country’s overall GDP is represented by GVA. It is computed by deducting the entire value of output from the value of intermediate inputs (such as raw materials and other goods and services utilized in the manufacturing process).

       The GVA of a sector is defined by the RBI as the value of output minus the value of its intermediary inputs. This “value added” is distributed among the primary production factors, labour and capital. By examining GVA growth, one may determine which sectors of the economy are doing well and which are struggling.

 

Calculation of GVA:

To calculate GVA, the NSO estimates the gross value of production for each sector, which is the total value of goods and services generated by that sector. The value of intermediate inputs is then subtracted from the gross value of output to arrive at the GVA, which includes the cost of goods and services used in the manufacturing process. The resulting GVA data quantifies each sector’s contribution to the country’s overall GDP.

 

       GVA is the sum of a country’s GDP and net of subsidies and taxes in the economy at the macro level, according to national accounting.

       Gross Value Added = GDP + product subsidies – product taxes

       Previously, India measured GVA at ‘factor cost’ until a new methodology was implemented, in which GVA at ‘basic prices’ became the primary measure of economic output.

       GVA at basic prices will include production taxes and exclude production subsidies.

       GVA at factor cost included no taxes and excluded no subsidies.

 

Importance of GVA:

       GVA is more accurate than GDP because, unlike GDP, it excludes the value of intermediary goods and services utilized in the production process, which might lead to double-counting. As a result, GVA is a more precise measure of the value added by each sector of the economy.

       Sectoral Comparison: GVA allows for a comparison of the contributions of various economic sectors to GDP. This can assist policymakers in identifying segments of the economy that are expanding or contracting and making informed judgments on policies to support or regulate various sectors.

       GVA is a helpful measure of productivity because it captures the contribution of each sector of the economy to the creation of economic value. GVA calculates the value-added per worker or unit of input to help understand the productivity of a specific sector, such as agriculture or manufacturing.

       Policymakers, investors, and businesses utilize GVA to analyze the potential of a sector or industry, discover opportunities, and plan investment decisions. Policymakers can discover which sectors are underperforming and may require further investment or policy support by analyzing GVA.

       International Comparison: GVA provides a common metric for comparing productivity and economic performance across countries. Policymakers can find areas of strength and possibilities for improvement in different economies by comparing GVA across countries.

 

Limitations of GVA:

       Sector Definition: There is no global definition of sectors, and they may be defined differently by different countries and organisations. This can make comparing GVA between countries or areas challenging.

       Output Valuation: GVA calculations are based on the valuation of output, which can be subjective. In some situations, determining the appropriate valuation of commodities and services generated by a sector may be difficult.

       While GVA does not include intermediate inputs, there may be some double-counting in the GVA calculation. If two sectors, for example, use the same input, such as electricity, the value of that input may be counted twice.

       Changes in Input Prices: Changes in input prices, such as the price of raw materials, can have an impact on GVA. This makes comparing GVA over time challenging since changes in input prices might impact the value of output.

       GVA calculations rely on data from a variety of sources, including surveys and administrative records. However, data availability can be a challenge, especially in developing countries or in sectors where data may not be collected or is unreliable.